2021 was a great year for home sellers. Record low inventory combined with low-interest rates sparked the hottest seller’s market in several decades. It wasn’t uncommon to see homes fly off the market in less than a day while bidding wars often drove sales 10-15% over the asking price.
While typical real estate seasonality has cooled things off just a bit over the last couple of months, many sellers are wondering what to expect in 2022. If you weren’t ready to list your home this year, you might be wondering if you missed the boat.
While there are most certainly changes ahead in 2022, it’s still likely to be a great time to list your home. Here is what to expect:
Mortgage Rates Will Rise
In order to combat record inflation, the Fed is expected to make raise interest rates multiple times throughout 2022. Last year’s record-low interest rates were a major factor in the heightened level of buyer demand, so it’s realistic to expect interest rate changes to slow the market down just a bit, especially in the back half of the year.
Price Increases Will Slow Down A Bit
Homes prices rarely fall, and there is no expectation that they will in 2022; however, it’s safe to assume price gains will cool off a bit. The national median home price jumped 16% in 2021, and it’s unrealistic to expect we’ll see the same type of increase next year. It’s probably safe to assume price appreciation will be in the ballpark of 4% to 6%.
Strong Demand From First-Time Buyers
Many first-time homebuyers were priced out of the market in 2021, so it’s no surprise that many are looking to try again in 2022. This means competition will be fierce for starter homes at entry-level price points. First-time buyers still likely have some uphill challenges as rates climb and prices remain at all-time highs; however, we expect to see many first-time buyers return to the market in early spring.
Inventory Will Start To Increase
Sellers may face more competition in 2022, as a lot of this year’s inventory challenges are likely to abate. The pandemic made some owners more reluctant to sell in 2020-2021, but a lot of those fears have started to dissipate. Additionally, worker shortages and supply chain issues caused major disruptions to the home building market in 2021. As these issues begin to normalize, we’ll see an increase in inventory in the coming years.
Buyers Will Still Prefer The Suburbs
As more and more companies adopt a remote work model, employees are no longer tied to a physical location. Consequently, more and more young consumers are migrating to suburbs, rural areas, and even popular vacation destinations. Since remote work is here to stay, we should expect to see this migration continue well into the new year.
How Sellers Can Prepare for 2022
The hot seller’s market of 2021 is likely to cool off in 2022. Despite increases in inventory and higher interest rates, we’re still likely to see a seller’s market next year. As home prices continue to appreciate, it’s likely still a great time to list your home.